National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton1 - 3Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Fylde
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
35.62% ( 0.14) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 38.28% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.35% ( 0.09) | 50.65% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.44% ( 0.07) | 72.56% ( -0.08) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( 0.12) | 27.38% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( 0.16) | 62.85% ( -0.16) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( -0.03) | 25.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% ( -0.04) | 60.83% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Curzon Ashton 35.62%
Hereford United 38.28%
Draw 26.1%
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.28% |
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 20:02:13
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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