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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta

Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.88%
    Atlanta United 31.08%
    Draw 24.03%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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