Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
58.52% ( 0.56) | 21.49% ( -0.32) | 19.99% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( 1.11) | 41.12% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( 1.13) | 63.51% ( -1.12) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% ( 0.54) | 13.77% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.94% ( 1.06) | 41.06% ( -1.05) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% ( 0.41) | 34.26% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.04% ( 0.43) | 70.96% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.22% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |