Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
9 | Atlanta United | 29 | -4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
6 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
56.19% ( 0.3) | 21.83% ( -0.13) | 21.99% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 58.66% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.04% ( 0.38) | 39.96% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.67% ( 0.39) | 62.32% ( -0.39) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.89% ( 0.22) | 14.11% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.26% ( 0.43) | 41.74% ( -0.43) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.06) | 31.71% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( 0.07) | 68.13% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |