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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Portland Timbers

Atlanta
5 - 1
Portland

Wiley (25'), Almada (45+5', 86'), Giakoumakis (59'), Araujo (75')
Sosa (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ikoba (83')
Mabiala (45+3'), Bravo (61'), Williamson (67'), McGraw (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Atlanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Atlanta have been poor on home turf of late, but their recent form should give them cause for optimism heading into this weekend's game. We anticipate an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
59.07% (-2.432 -2.43) 21.1% (0.731 0.73) 19.83% (1.701 1.7)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.706 -0.71)39.52% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)61.87% (0.739 0.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.92 -0.92)13.08% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.902 -1.9)39.69% (1.903 1.9)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.359 1.36)33.49% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.457 1.46)70.13% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 59.07%
    Portland Timbers 19.83%
    Draw 21.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.325 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Portland

Atlanta United
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Portland Timbers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 10.30pm
Portland
2-1
Atlanta
Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
Martinez (88')
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Portland
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Final
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
Atlanta
1-1
Portland
Gressel (56')
Escobar (32')
Mabiala (32')
Chara (24'), Mabiala (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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