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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Los Angeles FC

Portland
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Asprilla (81')
Paredes (48'), Zuparic (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vela (51'), Bouanga (90+5')
Segura (57'), Blessing (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC

Given the calibre of finishers on each side, we could see at least a few goals in this one, and just as Banc of California Stadium has been a fortress for LA, the same can be said about Providence Park for the Timbers. Home-field advantage, along with the desperation of needing a result to potentially clinch a playoff spot, should give the Timbers a slight edge over their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
34.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5%42.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)38.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)56.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 34.08%
    Los Angeles FC 42.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 42.41%

How you voted: Portland vs Los Angeles

Portland Timbers
36.8%
Draw
36.8%
Los Angeles FC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Fall (90+3')
Hollingshead (25'), Sanchez (78')
Chara (18')
Bravo (36'), Asprilla (39'), van Rankin (45+3'), Fochive (65'), Savarese (74'), Chara (90+2')
Bravo (62')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-2
Portland
Musovski (55')
Palacios (29'), Arango (90+9')
Chara (45'), Asprilla (59')
Paredes (25'), Asprilla (45+2'), Valeri (76')
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
Portland
2-1
Los Angeles
Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
Arango (27' pen.)
Jul 22, 2021 3.30am
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Los Angeles
1-1
Portland
Vela (5')
Blessing (27'), Torres (63')
Villafana (90')
Valeri (31'), Asprilla (81'), Mabiala (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462427-313
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192231-910


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