Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
29.95% | 23.28% | 46.77% |
Both teams to score 61.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% | 39.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% | 61.99% |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% | 25.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% | 60.39% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% | 17.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% | 47.58% |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |