Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
65.77% | 18.05% | 16.18% |
Both teams to score 61.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.84% | 31.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.42% | 52.58% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.1% | 8.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.58% | 30.42% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% | 68.77% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 6.78% 4-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 0.99% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 65.77% | 1-1 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-2 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.95% Total : 16.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |