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Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

NY City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Parks (74'), Pereira (78'), Gloster (88')
Callens (77'), Castellanos (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.77%18.05%16.18%
Both teams to score 61.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42%52.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.1%8.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58%30.42%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 65.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 16.18%
    Draw 18.05%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.62%
5-1 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.18%

How you voted: NY City vs Earthquakes

New York City FC
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Parks (40'), Mitrita (43')
Callens (55'), Johnson (94')
Wondolowski (20')
Salinas (47'), Eriksson (76')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Earthquakes
1-2
NY City
Quintana (3')
Godoy (29')
Tinnerholm (49'), Moralez (60')
Ofori (41'), Callens (67'), Herrera (74'), Tinnerholm (89'), Moralez (93')
Apr 1, 2017 7pm
NY City
2-1
Earthquakes
Harrison (11'), McNamara (67')
Ring (54'), Wallace (59'), Harrison (87')
Urena (7')
Bernardez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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