Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
55.4% ( 0.02) | 22.3% ( 0) | 22.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( -0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( -0.02) | 64.16% ( 0.02) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( -0) | 14.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% ( -0) | 43.4% ( 0.01) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.02) | 32.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.03) | 68.95% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |