Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
46.69% ( 0.3) | 22.9% ( -0.01) | 30.4% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 63.29% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.44% ( -0.13) | 37.55% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.21% ( -0.14) | 59.78% ( 0.14) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( 0.06) | 16.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( 0.11) | 46.2% ( -0.11) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( -0.24) | 24.21% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( -0.34) | 58.55% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |