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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
St Louis City

Austin
2 - 3
Saint Louis City

Driussi (45+4'), Gallagher (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parker (24'), Stroud (78'), Klauss (86')
Ostrak (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Saint Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Saint Louis City

Expansion teams have been able to develop quickly in this league, but it still takes time to have the continuity needed to be successful, and we expect the learning curve will be a steep one for Saint Louis early on. Whether or not Austin have fixed its defensive issues remains unknown, but even so, this team know who they are and have numerous attacking weapons at their disposal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Saint Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 81.02%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSaint Louis City
81.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 11.74% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02) 7.24% (-0.016100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.3% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.7% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.47% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)4.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)18.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Saint Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (0.004999999999999 0)78.6% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 81.02%
    Saint Louis City 7.24%
    Draw 11.74%
Austin FCDrawSaint Louis City
3-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.47% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 2.29% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 81.02%
1-1 @ 5.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 11.74%
1-2 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 7.24%

How you voted: Austin vs Saint Louis City

Austin FC
68.8%
Draw
6.3%
Saint Louis City
25.0%
32
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Austin FC
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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