Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
72.34% ( -0.16) | 16.5% ( 0.08) | 11.16% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.02% ( -0.12) | 35.98% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% ( -0.13) | 58.07% ( 0.13) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.32% ( -0.06) | 8.68% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.1% ( -0.16) | 29.9% ( 0.16) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% ( 0.07) | 42.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( 0.06) | 78.92% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |