Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.16% ( -2.47) | 22.88% ( 1.06) | 19.96% ( 1.4) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% ( -2.56) | 47.31% ( 2.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( -2.42) | 69.53% ( 2.42) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( -1.69) | 16.31% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( -3.16) | 45.88% ( 3.16) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( 0.03) | 37.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( 0.03) | 74.63% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |