Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.51% ( -0.11) | 24.14% ( 0.04) | 20.36% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( -0.08) | 51.87% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( -0.07) | 73.62% ( 0.07) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.07) | 18.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( -0.12) | 49.82% ( 0.13) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% ( 0.03) | 40.05% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( 0.03) | 76.7% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 20 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
8 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |