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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68'), Farsi (90+10')
Amundsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herbers (72')
Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
62.28% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 20.52% (0.102 0.1) 17.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.505 -0.51)41.18% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.517 -0.52)63.58% (0.518 0.52)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.178 -0.18)12.68% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.37 -0.37)38.86% (0.373 0.37)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.329 -0.33)37.32% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.325 -0.32)74.11% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 62.28%
    Chicago Fire 17.2%
    Draw 20.52%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Columbus Crew
2-0
Chicago Fire
Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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