Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati
There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend.
Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result |
Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
47.65% ( -1.91) | 23.47% ( 0.54) | 28.88% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.82) |
58.83% ( -1.55) | 41.17% ( 1.55) |
36.44% ( -1.6) | 63.57% ( 1.6) |
82.49% ( -1.3) | 17.51% ( 1.3) |