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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (90+2'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend. Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
47.65% (-1.912 -1.91) 23.47% (0.535 0.54) 28.88% (1.377 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-1.552 -1.55)41.17% (1.554 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-1.599 -1.6)63.57% (1.599 1.6)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.299 -1.3)17.51% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.316 -2.32)48.02% (2.317 2.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.155 0.16)27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.2 0.2)62.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.65%
    FC Cincinnati 28.88%
    Draw 23.46%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.452 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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