Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lens |
29.31% ( 0.16) | 25.21% ( 0.09) | 45.48% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( -0.29) | 48.7% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( -0.26) | 70.81% ( 0.26) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( -0.03) | 30.53% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% ( -0.04) | 66.76% ( 0.04) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.23) | 21.42% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.57% ( -0.36) | 54.43% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |