Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
61.07% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.02) | 17.26% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.88% ( 0.13) | 46.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.58% ( 0.12) | 68.42% ( -0.12) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( 0.05) | 14.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 0.09) | 42.72% ( -0.09) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.8% ( 0.09) | 40.2% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.16% ( 0.09) | 76.84% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.06% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |