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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
29.14% (0.571 0.57) 19.88% (-0.312 -0.31) 50.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% (1.71 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.72% (1.981 1.98)23.27% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.37% (2.624 2.62)42.63% (-2.626 -2.63)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.345 1.35)17.71% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.279 2.28)48.36% (-2.281 -2.28)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.614 0.61)9.97% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.402 1.4)32.95% (-1.405 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 29.14%
    RB Leipzig 50.98%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.097 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 29.14%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.12% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.117 0.12)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 50.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
8.7%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
80.5%
149
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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