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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
68.31% ( 0.01) | 18.02% ( -0.01) | 13.67% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.26% ( 0.01) | 36.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.1% ( 0.02) | 58.9% ( -0.02) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.19% ( 0) | 9.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.42% ( 0.01) | 32.58% ( -0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.89% ( 0) | 39.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% ( 0) | 75.82% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.12% Total : 68.3% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.02% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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