Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nice |
41.74% ( -0.43) | 25.54% ( 0.07) | 32.72% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( -0.19) | 48.75% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% ( -0.17) | 70.85% ( 0.17) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.29) | 23.2% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -0.43) | 57.09% ( 0.43) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 0.14) | 28.25% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( 0.17) | 63.96% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |