Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Toulouse |
38.12% ( -1.03) | 25.81% ( -0.02) | 36.07% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.21) | 49.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.19) | 71.39% ( -0.19) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( -0.46) | 25.34% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% ( -0.64) | 60.13% ( 0.63) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( 0.72) | 26.5% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( 0.95) | 61.69% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 36.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |