Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
74.85% ( 0.23) | 15.96% ( -0.07) | 9.19% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.49% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% ( -0.22) | 39.65% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% ( -0.23) | 62% ( 0.23) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% | 9.01% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% ( 0) | 30.71% ( -0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.1% ( -0.5) | 48.9% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.12% ( -0.36) | 83.88% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.83% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.96% | 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |