Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
36.73% ( -0.02) | 28.95% ( 0) | 34.31% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.3% ( -0.02) | 61.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.48% ( -0.01) | 81.51% ( 0.01) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( -0.02) | 32.15% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( -0.03) | 68.63% ( 0.03) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 0) | 33.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 0) | 70.39% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |