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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
0 - 0
Crewe


Morris (46'), Ehmer (82')
FT

Cooney (70'), Austerfield (74'), Turns (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Despite their relatively lofty positions in League Two's table, neither team have been in particularly good form of late, winning just two matches from their last 10 games combined. As such, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat on Friday, as they look to remain in contention to claim one of the four playoff spots on offer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.45% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.053999999999998 0.05)72.38% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.19% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.63%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.05%
    Draw 25.3%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crewe Alexandra
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
O'Riordan (30'), White (85')
Powell (35')
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Gillingham
2-1
Crewe
Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
Ainley (62')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
1-1
Gillingham
Agyei (19')
Kashket (12')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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