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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Orsi (24'), Lolos (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Considering how much is on the line for Crawley this weekend it is hard to imagine them slipping up and dropping any points here, which is why they should get the win. However, the recent form of both teams will certainly make this a trickier game than the hosts would like. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
39.7% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.23% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)53.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)56.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.7%
    Grimsby Town 36.23%
    Draw 24.06%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
61.5%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Grimsby Town
2-3
Crawley
Holohan (24'), Eisa (30')
Conteh (38')
Kelly (32'), Darcy (35'), Orsi (90+6')
Maguire (17')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Grimsby Town
Telford (87' pen.)
Clifton (42')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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