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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

In a pivotal contest in the playoff race, Crewe Alexandra will likely fancy themselves to bounce back to winning ways with home advantage against an AFC Wimbledon side missing several key players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
39.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 34.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.173 0.17)50.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.154 0.15)72.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.107 0.11)59.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.108 0.11)28.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.141 0.14)63.78% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.98%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.07%
    Draw 25.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

Crewe Alexandra
58.1%
Draw
21.0%
AFC Wimbledon
21.0%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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