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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
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Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia

Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozkacar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Valencia

 This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Sunday. Villarreal are in excellent form, but Valencia will be comfortably the fresher of the two teams, and we are expecting Los Che to claim a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
54.63% (0.191 0.19) 23.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 21.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.202 0.2)47.29% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.187 0.19)69.51% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.143 0.14)17.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.251 0.25)47.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 54.63%
    Valencia 21.91%
    Draw 23.45%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.91%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
50.0%
Draw
32.3%
Valencia
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
> Preview
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
> La Liga Full Table


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