Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 2-3 Villarreal
Sunday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Marseille (Marseille to win 5-2 on aggregate)
Villarreal tend to enjoy themselves in Europa League home matches, but while we think that they will do enough to claim a second-leg victory, we do not expect the Yellow Submarine to overturn the four-goal deficit from the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Marseille |
41.23% ( 0.08) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 34.18% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% ( -0.08) | 44.13% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% ( -0.08) | 66.51% ( 0.08) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% ( 0) | 21.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.52% ( 0.01) | 54.47% ( -0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( -0.09) | 25.13% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( -0.13) | 59.84% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal 41.23%
Marseille 34.18%
Draw 24.59%
Villarreal | Draw | Marseille |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.18% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Marseille
Villarreal
53.8%Draw
16.6%Marseille
29.7%145
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Marseille
4-0
Villarreal
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 17:02:55
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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