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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia

Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Foyth (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavani (21')
Musah (35'), Comert (56'), Moriba (73'), Cavani (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia

As mentioned, there has not been a draw between these two sides since September 2018, with each of the last seven La Liga meetings producing a winner. However, we are struggling to separate them here, as Valencia will be full of confidence following their success over Real Betis before the campaign was halted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
57.02% (-0.738 -0.74) 23.26% (0.117 0.12) 19.72% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.374 0.37)49.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.337 0.34)71.24% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.126 -0.13)17.02% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.224 -0.22)47.15% (0.224 0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.902 0.9)39.19% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.834 0.83)75.9% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.01%
    Valencia 19.72%
    Draw 23.26%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.72%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
68.7%
Draw
24.1%
Valencia
7.2%
83
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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