Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
46.62% ( 0.06) | 23.47% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% ( 0.54) | 40.55% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% ( 0.56) | 62.93% ( -0.56) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( 0.23) | 17.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% ( 0.41) | 48.29% ( -0.41) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( 0.3) | 26.01% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.41) | 61.03% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |