Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
32.69% ( -0.49) | 28.19% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.76% ( 0.06) | 59.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( -0.31) | 33.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( -0.34) | 70.21% ( 0.33) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( 0.34) | 29.46% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( 0.42) | 65.47% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |