Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
33.77% ( -0.19) | 30.54% ( 0.37) | 35.69% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.22% ( -1.12) | 66.78% ( 1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.88% ( -0.77) | 85.11% ( 0.76) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( -0.75) | 36.86% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.35% ( -0.75) | 73.65% ( 0.75) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.73) | 35.53% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( -0.77) | 72.29% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.53% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |