Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
53.58% | 24.65% | 21.77% |
Both teams to score 49.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% | 74% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% | 19.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% | 51.33% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.15% | 38.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% | 75.59% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |