Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.49% ( 0.47) | 27.17% ( 0.21) | 43.34% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 48.63% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( -0.57) | 56.45% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.47) | 77.45% ( 0.46) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( 0.06) | 34.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( 0.06) | 71.14% ( -0.06) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.61) | 25.82% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.83) | 60.79% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |