Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.86% | 26.05% | 50.09% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% | 76.82% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% | 38.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% | 75.47% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% | 22.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% | 55.73% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.86% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 12.95% 0-2 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-3 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |