Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 4 | 7 |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.76% ( 0.89) | 28.39% ( 0.15) | 42.84% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 44.88% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% ( -0.14) | 61.03% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% ( -0.1) | 81.01% ( 0.1) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% ( 0.65) | 37.47% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( 0.64) | 74.25% ( -0.64) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.62) | 28.23% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.8) | 63.93% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 42.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
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