Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Real Valladolid |
48.82% ( 0.31) | 25.6% ( -0.08) | 25.57% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% ( 0.14) | 52.67% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% ( 0.12) | 74.31% ( -0.12) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.19) | 21.59% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( 0.29) | 54.68% ( -0.29) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% ( -0.12) | 35.54% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( -0.12) | 72.31% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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