Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Brann Stadion
Brann3 - 1Arouca
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between SK Brann and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Brann
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SK Brann | Draw | Arouca |
64.08% ( -0.42) | 19.17% ( 0.04) | 16.75% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
