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Celje
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele

Celje
1 - 0
Neman

Ikwuemesi (69')
Edmilson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vasilyev (56')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Neman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Celje (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Balzan 0-0 Neman
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Neman had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.

Result
CeljeDrawNeman
37.8%25.85%36.35%
Both teams to score 54.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5%49.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46%71.54%
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53%60.47%
Neman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Celje 37.8%
    Neman 36.35%
    Draw 25.84%
CeljeDrawNeman
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.35%

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