MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 10:00:40| >> :120:47569:47569:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Santa Coloma

van Bommel (40'), Lahdo (78')
Mijnans (45+1'), Clasie (59'), de Wit (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cheryshev (46'), Toribio (78')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Santa Coloma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Santa Coloma
76.79% (-1.091 -1.09) 14.31% (0.621 0.62) 8.9% (0.4721 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76% (-1.533 -1.53)32.24% (1.535 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.16% (-1.805 -1.81)53.84% (1.81 1.81)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.12% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)6.88% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.72% (-1.464 -1.46)25.28% (1.466 1.47)
FC Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.108 -0.11)44.29% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.087 -0.09)80.36% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 76.79%
    FC Santa Coloma 8.9%
    Draw 14.31%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Santa Coloma
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.185 0.19)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.43 0.43)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 6.52% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-1 @ 5.31% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-0 @ 3.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 76.79%
1-1 @ 6.64% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 14.31%
1-2 @ 2.7% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.48% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.9%

How you voted: AZ vs Santa Coloma

AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
FC Santa Coloma
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Santa Coloma
0-1
AZ

Crespo (45'), Novoa (71')
rhs 2.0
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