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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Larnaca
1 - 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Faraj (80')
Angel (3'), Pons (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cohen (64')
Biton (3'), Saborit (59'), Bitton (84')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AEK Larnaca and Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
30.95%26.26%42.79%
Both teams to score 52.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65%52.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96%74.04%
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73%24.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37%58.63%
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 30.95%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 42.79%
    Draw 26.25%
AEK LarnacaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.95%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.79%

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