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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Utrecht

Sparta
1 - 2
Utrecht

Neghli (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht

With Sparta having been far more inconsistent than their next opponents of late, this feels like it could be more competitive than it may have been several weeks ago. Utrecht have built up a head of steam and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
35.71% (-1.687 -1.69) 24.02% (-0.493 -0.49) 40.27% (2.178 2.18)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.654 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (2.213 2.21)41.14% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (2.215 2.22)63.53% (-2.215 -2.22)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.114 0.11)22.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.168 0.17)56.64% (-0.169 -0.17)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (2.03 2.03)20.62% (-2.03 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (3.109 3.11)53.18% (-3.109 -3.11)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 35.71%
    FC Utrecht 40.27%
    Draw 24.01%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.192 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.387 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.25 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.189 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.27%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Sparta
0-1
Utrecht
Sparta win 0-0 on penalties

van Crooij (90+1')
Viergever (80')
van der Maarel (59'), Bozdogan (90+6')
Jun 1, 2023 8pm
Utrecht
1-2
Sparta
Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
Van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht
Jensen (74'), Boussaid (88'), Descotte (90')
Oct 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')
Kitolano (84')
Jan 23, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht

Dalmau (28')
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), Van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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