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Sampdoria logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 20, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Ascoli

Verre (10'), Caputo (118')
Rincon (45+3'), Yepes (73'), Conti (101')
FT
(aet)
Collocolo (33'), Donati (110')
Tavcar (78'), Eramo (112')
Sampdoria win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Sampdoria and Ascoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Ascoli
Saturday, October 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B

We say: Sampdoria 1-0 Ascoli

It may not be pretty, but Sampdoria can eke out just their second win of the season, as their new coach exerts his grip on an ailing side. Still possessing some talented players, the hosts have enough individual quality up front to decide the tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
SampdoriaDrawAscoli
29.09% (0.549 0.55) 25.7% (0.22 0.22) 45.21% (-0.775 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (-0.615 -0.62)50.89% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23% (-0.545 -0.55)72.77% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.090000000000003 0.09)31.82% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.106 0.11)68.25% (-0.114 -0.11)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.61499999999999 -0.61)22.47% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.925 -0.92)56.01% (0.917 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 29.09%
    Ascoli 45.2%
    Draw 25.7%
SampdoriaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 7% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.2%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Ascoli

Sampdoria
72.7%
Draw
16.7%
Ascoli
10.6%
66
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
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12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
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