MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 02:02:27| >> :120:73298:73298:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Universitario

LDU Quito
2 - 0
Universitario

Arce (44'), Alzugaray (67')
Quinteros (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzales (64')
Gonzales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Botafogo
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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We said: LDU Quito 1-1 Universitario

An encounter as closely-fought as the standings would suggest should be in store on Tuesday, as Quito are ostensibly enjoying the new manager bounce but are still finding their feet under Hurtado's leadership. The free-scoring Ache can certainly make an inconsistent Universitario tremble, but the Peruvian champions have found a streak of defensive resilience and can hold out for the draw required to save their continental bacon in the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a LDU Quito win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw has a probability of 26.1% and a win for Universitario has a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Universitario win it is 0-1 (8.22%).

Result
LDU QuitoDrawUniversitario
50.52% (-3.377 -3.38) 26.15% (1.008 1.01) 23.33% (2.369 2.37)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (-1.452 -1.45)56.45% (1.453 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-1.184 -1.18)77.45% (1.185 1.19)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-2.015 -2.02)22.41% (2.015 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-3.109 -3.11)55.93% (3.109 3.11)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (1.545 1.55)39.67% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (1.4 1.4)76.35% (-1.398 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 50.52%
    Universitario 23.33%
    Draw 26.14%
LDU QuitoDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 13.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.677 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.673 -0.67)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.408 -0.41)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.384 -0.38)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.52%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.485 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.769 0.77)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.433 0.43)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.498 0.5)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.33%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Universitario

LDU Quito
52.6%
Draw
36.8%
Universitario
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Universitario
2-1
LDU Quito
Rivera (50', 70')
Saravia (13'), Portocarrero (66'), Cabanillas (83')
Quinonez (29')
Angulo (20'), Gonzalez (86')
rhs 2.0
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