Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
52.02% ( 0.18) | 24.7% ( 0.04) | 23.29% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.02% ( -0.39) | 50.98% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% ( -0.34) | 72.84% ( 0.34) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( -0.08) | 19.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( -0.13) | 51.5% ( 0.13) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% ( -0.43) | 36.65% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.43) | 73.44% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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