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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Sampdoria logo

Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria

Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')
Bastoni (42'), Kovalenko (59'), Egill Ellertsson (89'), N'Zola (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabiri (11')
Ferrari (23'), Villar (43'), Leris (69'), Duricic (78'), Murillo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria

With only one win between them, confidence is low in both camps. As Spezia (10) and Sampdoria (18) are also two of the three teams with the fewest shots on target this term, expect a low-scoring Ligurian derby in which the spoils are shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
45.6% (1.622 1.62) 28.61% (0.521 0.52) 25.79% (-2.138 -2.14)
Both teams to score 42.55% (-2.698 -2.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.96% (-2.701 -2.7)63.05% (2.706 2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.5% (-2.001 -2)82.5% (2.005 2.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.431 -0.43)27.73% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.559 -0.56)63.29% (0.563 0.56)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-3.359 -3.36)41.13% (3.364 3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-3.126 -3.13)77.67% (3.131 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 45.6%
    Sampdoria 25.79%
    Draw 28.6%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 14.62% (1.24 1.24)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.692 0.69)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.4% (1.1 1.1)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.572 -0.57)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia
45.8%
Draw
37.3%
Sampdoria
16.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Sampdoria
Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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