MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 18:25:58| >> :60:142:142:
Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Club Libertad

Atletico Nacional
4 - 1
Libertad

Barrera (16'), Perlaza (51'), Alvez (58'), Duque (74')
Andrade (28'), Quintana (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cesar Enciso (2')
Barboza (84'), Bocanegra (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Libertad
44.93%24.49%30.58%
Both teams to score 57.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08%44.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72%67.27%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89%20.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63%52.36%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.31%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 44.93%
    Club Libertad 30.58%
    Draw 24.48%
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Libertad
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Libertad

Atletico Nacional
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Club Libertad
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2021 1.30am
Third Round
Libertad
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Barboza (45'), Baez (62')
Banguero (64')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2019 12.30am
Third Stage
Atletico Nacional
1-0
Libertad
 Libertad win 5-4 on penalties
Lucumi (34')
Lucumi (44'), Palacios (62'), Hernandez (86')

Rivero (13'), Bareiro (44'), Cardozo (56'), Cardozo (85'), Caceres (87')
Feb 22, 2019 12.30am
Third Stage
Libertad
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Cardozo (55')
Cougo (42'), Aquino (51'), Canale (78')

Hernandez (5'), Palacios (36'), Gomez (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!