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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Southampton logo

Blackburn
0 - 0
Southampton


Dolan (59'), Rankin-Costello (90+3'), Adams (90+5')
FT

Brooks (62'), Pickering (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-3 Southampton

All the signs are there that this could be somewhat of a goal-fest, although it is unclear who may prevail at Ewood Park. For us, we have to give the nod to the visitors, who have more reason to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
27.03% (-1.303 -1.3) 22.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 50.82% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.639 -0.64)36.28% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.6% (-0.704 -0.7)58.4% (0.708 0.71)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.196 -1.2)25.75% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.653 -1.65)60.69% (1.658 1.66)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (0.23399999999999 0.23)14.56% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (0.446 0.45)42.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 27.03%
    Southampton 50.82%
    Draw 22.16%
Blackburn RoversDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.03%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.246 0.25)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.135 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Southampton

Blackburn Rovers
21.2%
Draw
24.2%
Southampton
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Southampton
4-0
Blackburn
Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Fritz
Rublev
7pm
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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