MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 11:13:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Maehle (50'), Nmecha (83')
Arnold (3'), Baku (22'), Maehle (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (14', 54' pen.), Vagnomann (77')
Anton (58'), Karazor (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Despite a minor slip up last week, Stuttgart are still moving clear of those below them in the race for the Champions League and will be favourites against a side with just two wins in 17. With two extremely difficult games ahead on paper against third-placed Stuttgart here, and unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen next, Wolfsburg may find themselves ominously closer to the bottom three in a couple of weeks time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
27.9% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.72% (0.418 0.42) 48.38% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-1.555 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-2.009 -2.01)42.99% (2.014 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-2.022 -2.02)65.39% (2.025 2.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-1.117 -1.12)28.61% (1.121 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-1.421 -1.42)64.42% (1.424 1.42)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.878 -0.88)17.93% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-1.532 -1.53)48.74% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.9%
    Stuttgart 48.38%
    Draw 23.72%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.443 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.525 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.38%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
15.5%
Draw
17.9%
Stuttgart
66.7%
84
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Wolfsburg
Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
16Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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